Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.192496 0.222953 0.256650 0.296698 0.343004 0.394878 0.457421
2025-08-24 0.145685 0.186849 0.237174 0.303239 0.387738 0.492285 0.631641
2025-08-31 0.118614 0.163310 0.221881 0.304282 0.417341 0.567240 0.781512
2025-09-07 0.101373 0.147871 0.212347 0.308320 0.447753 0.643334 0.939305
2025-09-14 0.085725 0.131455 0.198044 0.302124 0.461013 0.695021 1.067069
2025-09-21 0.074512 0.119484 0.187896 0.299604 0.477863 0.752105 1.207829
2025-09-28 0.066655 0.111339 0.182080 0.302294 0.502051 0.821857 1.375203
2025-10-05 0.062613 0.108618 0.184194 0.317466 0.547384 0.929321 1.615392
2025-10-12 0.058221 0.104636 0.183566 0.327655 0.585111 1.027820 1.851421
2025-10-19 0.054044 0.100422 0.181901 0.335578 0.619401 1.123600 2.093128
2025-10-26 0.049667 0.095254 0.177856 0.338550 0.644793 1.205879 2.319183
2025-11-02 0.044926 0.088796 0.170661 0.334692 0.656782 1.264528 2.507025
2025-11-09 0.039731 0.080934 0.160121 0.323545 0.654204 1.296780 2.650459
2025-11-16 0.037225 0.078097 0.158942 0.330679 0.688473 1.404098 2.956479
2025-11-23 0.034360 0.074156 0.155078 0.331816 0.710529 1.489240 3.226703
2025-11-30 0.032125 0.071249 0.152949 0.336220 0.739713 1.591776 3.545174
2025-12-07 0.029127 0.066323 0.146017 0.329462 0.744039 1.642318 3.756332
2025-12-14 0.026790 0.062576 0.141185 0.326714 0.756761 1.712087 4.018198
2025-12-21 0.025125 0.060159 0.138997 0.329648 0.782583 1.813419 4.364000
2025-12-28 0.024572 0.060272 0.142524 0.346194 0.841812 1.996723 4.923885
2026-01-04 0.023663 0.059420 0.143714 0.357307 0.889347 2.157928 5.449377
2026-01-11 0.022652 0.058198 0.143887 0.365948 0.931812 2.311584 5.974214
2026-01-18 0.021395 0.056211 0.141983 0.369190 0.961162 2.436457 6.440895